Showing posts with label dollar. Show all posts
Showing posts with label dollar. Show all posts

May 20, 2012

China Predicted to Provide the Next Boost to FNQ

An article printed by The Age this weekend provides a timely account for the economic environment experienced in Far North Queensland throughout the past 4 years following the first impacts of the Global Financial Crisis. It is not hard to understand why the business climate in the Far North has reacted to depressed international tourism conditions in the way that it has, tourism is the largest industry in Far North Queensland with its gross domestic product (GDP) historically worth double that of agriculture, the second largest industry.

Most interesting are the personal accounts provided toward the end of the article by Cairns locals who assert that pronounced fluctuations in economic growth is just something that Cairns is used to, and that they are confident that the emerging Chinese tourist market will provide The Far North with its next much needed “boost”.

Perfect storms lash one-time tourist mecca
The Age - May 19th 2012

ALONG The Esplanade in Cairns, scores of tourism outlets tussle grimly for passing trade. ''Hello!'' cry attendants to passing strangers from the doorways of cafes and restaurants, their hopeful smiles fading as each potential dollar moves on.

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Tour companies and their agencies display racks of brochures for countless struggling attractions spread across far north Queensland, each one a survivor of the longest, most comprehensive slump ever to strike the region. At night, while coach operators vie for backpackers to take on pub crawls, restaurants with prices pared to the bone hire young women in short dresses to stand on the footpath spruiking their menus and feigning interest in the doings of tourists.

It's tough up here.

More than 400 small businesses and several large development companies have gone to the wall since the slump began to bite in 2006-07. Compounded by the closure of the Cairns-based Australian Airlines in 2007, as well as the GFC, the Asian financial crisis, the high Australian dollar and the natural disasters of 2010-11, the downturn became a locally focused recession affecting every aspect of the economy.

Tourism, which returned $2.6 billion across the region in 2005-06, is now down by about $300 million, and Cairns (population 160,000) has an unemployment rate of 9.8 per cent - among the nation's highest, and double the state average. Despite promising signs of a recovery led by Chinese tourists, the European, UK and US markets - once the bread and butter of local tourism - remain mired in their own economic woes.

''China is the only growing market at the moment,'' says Steve Davies (pictured), operations manager of Big Cat Green Island Cruises. ''Everything else is stagnant, shrinking, dead or going nowhere.''

Bigger businesses such as Davies' have hung on by cutting costs, reducing staff, delaying equipment upgrades and sharing boat space with rival operators on days when there aren't enough passengers to make two cruises viable. Other major companies have been forced to diversify, merge or chase government tenders.

But small retailers, the so-called ''mum and dad'' operators, have been left with nowhere to hide. For veteran publican Gayle Scowcroft the crunch came last month, when she was forced to call in a liquidator, cut her losses and close the doors of Cairns' historic 114-year-old Cape York Hotel. Scowcroft's six-year battle to make a go of it seems to bear testament to the reigning wisdom among local hardheads. (''Tourism in Cairns has changed forever,'' asserts one real estate agent. ''Forget sentiment; from now on only the lean and mean will survive.'')

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But the popular and easy-going ex-publican, while admitting she made mistakes, has a different take on the circumstances that left her ''on the bones of my bum'' and $100,000 in debt. ''The whole thing made me realise just how much our country is based on greed,'' says the one-time Toowoomba school teacher who, with her late husband, Doug, had operated three other pubs before she and her son Ben took over the Cape York in 2006.

By 2010, she says, three new supermarket-owned liquor outlets (two Dan Murphys and a First Choice) had opened in Cairns, and her drive-through bottle shop couldn't compete.

The worsening tourism slump, rising rents, electricity and insurance costs added to her dilemma.

''I saw the writing on the wall, but I was pigheaded and a bit proud and I just wouldn't give up,'' Scowcroft says.

''My landlord wouldn't negotiate on the rent … Then my insurance went from $16,000 to $30,000, and they demanded the whole lot or I'd be uninsured … that's when I knew I'd have to get out.'' Scowcroft says she will stay in Cairns and try to find other work - ''perhaps on the political side of things. I'd like to do something to help the place recover.''

Over the past few years the slump has also claimed three of Cairns' largest construction/development tycoons: one-time plumber Tom Hedley (whose Hedley Leisure and Gaming Property Fund was valued at $1.2 billion in 2008); Roy Lavis (whose CEC Group collapsed last year with debts of almost $135 million); and Glencorp and Glenwood Homes owner Udo Jattke, who shut down his 30-year-old business last year owing $30 million.

Gavin King, as a Cairns Post journalist, wrote about these closures being part of a domino effect triggered by the tourism slump. He is now the new Liberal National Party state member for Cairns (the first conservative elected to the seat in more than a century) and says locals had not realised how inexorably their fortunes were linked to tourism until the ''big three'' went under.

''In past slumps, like the pilots' strike [in 1989], and the lull after 9/11, the big operators were able to hang on with ancillary businesses,'' King told The Saturday Age. ''But this is much worse … these past four to six years have been a really prolonged period of pain. A lot of businesses are still on their knees. But there is an air of hope, particularly in the situation with China, and the push for Cairns to get direct [tourism] flights from that country.''

The Chinese market in Australia is potentially so big, tourism operators haven't enough adjectives for the wonders they believe it will unleash. But in Cairns - long vexed by the geographic isolation that separates it from major tourism air routes - the word they invariably use is ''salvation''.

The obstacle in establishing direct flights from China is that far north Queensland doesn't have the population to sustain return flights. But Gavin King, flush with an $8 million ''attracting aviation fund'' from the state government, reckons he willl make direct flights a reality within 12 months: ''The great example for how this could happen is Cathay Pacific, which has been bringing Chinese tourists to Cairns from Hong Kong for years, then returning with the bellies of their planes full of live local seafood. We're confident we can achieve the same thing with direct flights from China, returning with cargoes of seafood or agricultural products.''

Charles Woodward's CaPTA Group has been marketing its local tourist attractions in China since 1997. Raised on a cane farm in what is now part of Cairns' inner suburbs, Woodward was among a handful of entrepreneurs who helped open the region to international tourism. With Jim Wallace, founder and former owner of the Quicksilver Group (and now owner of Big Cat Green Island Reef Cruises), and a few others, Woodward formed a ''marketing mafia'' and toured the world promoting his birthplace and the Great Barrier Reef.

He opened his famous RainForestStation Nature Park at Kuranda in 1976, since bolstered by other nature-based attractions, including the Cairns Wildlife Dome atop the Cairns Casino. ''Most of our tourists were domestic until the Cairns International Airport opened in 1984,'' Woodward says. ''After that, we had the real boom phase when all the airlines used to run into Cairns [which ended after the pilots' strike] … then the Christopher Skase white-shoe wankers phase. Next came the Japanese market boom in the early '90s, which is when Daikyo came into Cairns and developed a lot of the major hotel infrastructure.'' (With economic problems of their own, even before last year's earthquake/tsunami, the Japanese no longer have a corporate presence in far north Queensland.)

"...We're now heading into the Chinese phase... the moment we get direct flights, the Chinese market here will take off like it did in the Japanese boom..."

''We're now heading into the Chinese phase,'' he says confidently. ''The moment we get direct flights, the Chinese market here will take off like it did in the Japanese boom.''

Even without direct flights, 70,000 tourists from mainland China are visiting Cairns annually, mostly via Melbourne, Sydney or Brisbane. Thanks to his marketing legwork in China, 90 per cent of these arrivals dutifully turn up at RainForestStation. ''When they started coming about 12 years ago it was all government-sponsored tours, so a lot of them were factory managers and the like in Mao suits,'' he says. ''Now, as the country opens up, we're getting the whole range - from very sophisticated to very unsophisticated.''
Which sounds a bit like customer service in Cairns, where larger tourism operations are already schooling their staff in the nuances of being ''China-ready''.

View article source HERE

Peter Musso licensed real estate agent at Ray White Cairns Beaches selling property in Cairns' beautiful northern beach suburbs including Trinity Beach, Kewarra Beach, Clifton Beach, Palm Cove, Trinity Park, Smithfield, Yorkeys Knob, Holloways Beach, Machans Beach, Caravonica and surrounds.

October 11, 2011

Cairns Post: Tourism Industry Looks on Bright Side as Aus Dollar Falls Against Major Currencies

Article written in The Cairns Post - Wednesday 5th October 2011

The Far North's $2.2 billion a year tourism industry is buoyed by predictions the Australian dollar could fall to as low as US80c in coming weeks.

Industry leaders said it would take time for the benefits of a lower Aussie dollar to flow through but it would make the Far North more competitive and attractive to international tourists and stop the flow of Australians holidaying overseas.

Yesterday, the Aussie dollar hit a low of US94.58c before closing at US95.22c on growing fears of a global economic crisis.

It comes after the tourism industry had struggled for the past year as the Australian dollar hit highs of US110c.

The high Australian dollar made rival destinations such as Bali, Thailand and the Pacific islands more economically appealing to both overseas travellers and Australian holidaymakers.

Tourism Tropical North Queensland chief executive Rob Giason said it would make agricultural exports and tourism better value.

"It will be good for the Christmas holidays and many Australians will take time to holiday at home instead of heading overseas," he said.

Herron Todd White Cairns research director Rick Carr said in his CairnsWatch report the falling dollar would make the region more affordable.

"Cairns’s economic recovery lost some momentum over the past month and looks even shakier against a backdrop of increased global economic and share market turmoil," he said.

"However, the fall in the Australian dollar will be welcomed by local businesses, as will recent rises in passengers through the international airport and a fall in local unemployment."

The report said passenger numbers at the international terminal had increased by 5.9 per cent since December, 2010.

Economist Bill Cummings said the falling Australian dollar would be good news for the regional economy.

"It will be especially good news for an embattled tourist industry," he said.

"The fall is pretty much across all currencies, although the fall is less against the Euro."

Cairns Airport acting chief executive officer Greg Eisenmenger said the first two months of the financial year showed international passenger numbers "remain strong".

On the Cairns Esplanade yesterday travellers welcomed news they could soon be getting a better return on their homeland currency.

"A year ago, this holiday would have cost me about 25 per cent less," Swedish tourist Mika Andersson said.

View Cairns Post article here

Peter Musso - Ray White Cairns Beaches - Property agent selling real estate in Trinity Beach, Kewarra Beach, Clifton Beach, Palm Cove, Trinity Park, Smithfield, Yorkeys Knob, Holloways Beach, Machans Beach

October 20, 2010

STRONG AUSSIE DOLLAR TO SLOW ECONOMIC RECOVERY IN TROPICAL NORTH QUEENSLAND

With the Australian dollar recently reaching a 27-year high, not seen since the currency was freely floated in 1983, heavy costs are expected for local tourism and export industries.

Cairns was hit hard by the global financial crisis due to its high reliance on international tourism, and local businesses are still struggling to recover. Early indications of a strengthening economy in the north have just started to show yet these are now overshadowed by the sky-rocketing dollar bound to deter international expenditure in the region.

Interest rate rises are being viewed as too much too soon while local property markets are still finding their feet, and of longer term concern is the slowdown in residential development. It is the hope of local business leaders that the reserve bank decides to leave interest rates at current levels or lower for the time being with political figures calling for it to be allowed to free-fall like in the time of the Keating Government after the early 1990’s recession (Courier Mail Article).

Australian Tourism Export Council director Ron Livingston said Cairns had suffered because its tourism industry was predominantly based on leisure tourism, rather than business tourism. "If you add the fact that Australia has a high wage base compared to, say, Southeast Asia, we get crucified on hotel costs and tour costs," Mr Livingston said (The Australian Article).

Peter Musso - Ray White Cairns Beaches - Property agent selling real estate in Trinity Beach, Kewarra Beach, Clifton Beach, Palm Cove, Trinity Park, Smithfield, Yorkeys Knob, Holloways Beach, Machans Beach

June 8, 2010

Investor Optimism Growing

An increase in university enrolments and speculation over Cairns' role in the Papua New Guinean gas project is fuelling new optimism in the housing market.

While the Real Estate Institute of Queensland's March 2010 quarter report showed the median house price in Cairns fell by 0.7 per cent to $370,000, there was cause for optimism, REIQ Cairns chairman Rick Szelpuk said.

"A lot of people will move to Cairns looking to rent property initially. Also, with the Australian dollar getting more realistic, it allows opportunity for tourists to visit and Cairns can benefit from this."

Mr Szelpuk said the 30 per cent increase in mid-year enrolments at James Cook University was another positive sign. He said it was a good time for investors to buy property to rent out to university students.

Read full article

Peter Musso - Ray White Cairns Beaches - Property agent selling real estate in Trinity Beach, Kewarra Beach, Clifton Beach, Palm Cove, Trinity Park, Smithfield, Yorkeys Knob, Holloways Beach, Machans Beach